• Will the MTA announce a delay of their congestion pricing plan by January 31, 2024?
• Will an AI language model that performs better on MMLU than GPT-4 be released by January 31, 2024?
• How many people will have died in 2023 in major wars?
• Will Starship launch again before January 31, 2024?
• Will the 2024 Finnish presidential election go to a second round?
• What will be the variance of points scored per quarter in the 2024 Super Bowl?
• How many people will participate in the largest protest mentioned on Google News on January 31, 2024?
• [META] On all non-meta questions, will majority of the people from the top three teams be from the same school?
• What will be 2/3rds of the mean of all the answers given to this question?
• Will any movie not currently in the top 10 domestic releases of 2023, by box office, be in the top 10 on January 31, 2024?
• What proportion of Satya Nadella's (CEO of Microsoft) tweets between December 2, 2023 and January 31, 2024 will include the name "OpenAI"?
• What will the implied 30-day volatility of the S&P 500 be on December 13?
• What will the price of an A100 GPU on Amazon be at noon on January 31, 2024?
• What will be the US population be at noon on January 31, 2024?
• Will any new vaccines be licensed for use in the United States by January 31, 2024?
• Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift break up before January 31, 2024?
• Will Joe Biden make an international trip in January 2024?
• Will any new organization partner with ARC Evals to evaluate one of the organization's 100B+ parameter large language models by January 31?
• Will there be any changes in the Biden cabinet by end of January 2024?
• When will Sweden join NATO?