• What will be 2/3rds of the mean of all the answers given to this question?
• [META] Will GPT-4 with search have a better log score than GPT-4 on all non-meta binary questions?
• [META] Will the average log score on binary AI questions be better than the average log score on all other binary questions?
• Will at least one tweet written by Benjamin Netanyahu during the month of December have a Community Note on January 1, 2024?
• 24 hours before it resolves to a winning answer, what will be the probability of that winning answer for the Manifold Market on “ Who will be Time Person of the Year 2023?”, in percents?
• Will the winner of the Las Vegas Grand Prix be from a country whose most common native language is English?
• When will the SAG-AFTRA strike resolve?
• What will be the most recent estimate of Q3 US GDP growth at the end of 2023?
• What will be the difference between the maximum and minimum GDPNow forecasts in November and December, in percents?
• What will be the total number of vaccine doses given globally by December 31?
• Between noon November 1 and noon December 31, 2023, will the stock price of Novo Nordisk and McDonalds have gone in the same direction (both up or both down)?
• During the week of November 26, how many influenza hospitalizations will there be in the United States?
• Will the plaintiffs of the class action lawsuit against Stability, DeviantArt, and Midjourney refile against DeviantArt and/or Midjourney by December 31?
• Will Lambda Labs have an H100 available to rent on demand at noon PT on a random day in December?
• Will Anthropic explicitly update their Responsible Scaling Policy in 2023?
• Out of five randomly chosen members of the US House of Representatives, will any of them tweet about AI in December 2023?
• On December 31, will there be more mentions of "Biden" than "Trump" on Google News?
• Will the Myanmar’s military government regain control of the town of Chinshwehaw by December 31?
• What percent of the Gaza strip will be under Israeli control on December 31, 2023?
• What will be the absolute difference between the probability of Trump winning the primary and Biden winning the primary on December 31 on PredictIt, in percents?